Malacateco vs Comunicaciones: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, Malacatán
The Footlab model makes Malacateco the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Comunicaciones. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malacateco vs Comunicaciones?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Malacateco (1,585) and Comunicaciones (1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malacateco have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Comunicaciones have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Comunicaciones(away) | 2-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Xelajú(home) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Guastatoya(away) | 0-4 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(home) | 1-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Comunicaciones(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Antigua GFC(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Malacateco(home) | 4-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 1-3 | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 0-0 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malacateco win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Comunicaciones win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Comunicaciones 4-2 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Malacateco 1-0 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Comunicaciones 3-2 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Malacateco 2-0 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Comunicaciones 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Malacateco 2-2 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Comunicaciones vs Malacateco on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malacateco score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Comunicaciones score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Comunicaciones | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malacateco sit 10th in Liga Nacional (22 points from 22 matches) and Comunicaciones sit 4th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malacateco vs Comunicaciones?
- The Footlab model makes Malacateco the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Comunicaciones.
- Where and when is Malacateco vs Comunicaciones played?
- Malacateco vs Comunicaciones is played on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.