Malacateco vs Comunicaciones: prediction and stats
Liga NacionalRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, Malacatán
The Footlab AI model makes Malacateco the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Comunicaciones. The most likely score is 1-1. If Malacateco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malacateco vs Comunicaciones?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Malacateco (1,600) and Comunicaciones (1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malacateco vs Comunicaciones
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malacateco
4-3-3- 10J. Ochoa
- 11N. Andrade
- 29E. Quiñónes
- 17R. Meneses
- 55A. Soto
- II. de Leon
- MM. Chun
- 5J. Esqueda
- HH. Cummings
- 16A. Morales
- AA. Guzman
Comunicaciones
4-3-3- 77N. García
- 27O. Duarte
- 19A. de la Cruz
- 31D. Bradley
- 5M. Dominguez-Ramirez
- 11A. Ortíz
- 32N. Olivera
- 3E. Cruz Martin
- 2K. Grijalva
- 16D. Santis
- 1F. Pérez
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malacateco have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Comunicaciones have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 2-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 0-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marquense(away) | 0-1 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Mixco(home) | 1-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Municipal(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportivo San Pedro(away) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Suchitepéquez(home) | 3-0 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Xelajú(away) | 3-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guastatoya(home) | 1-2 | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cobán Imperial(away) | 2-2 | Liga Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Malacateco wins, 1 draw, 3 Comunicaciones wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Comunicaciones 4-2 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Malacateco 1-0 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Comunicaciones 3-2 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Malacateco 2-0 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Comunicaciones 1-0 Malacateco | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Malacateco 2-2 Comunicaciones | Liga Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Comunicaciones vs Malacateco on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malacateco score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Comunicaciones score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacateco | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Comunicaciones | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malacateco sit 10th in Liga Nacional (22 points from 22 matches) and Comunicaciones sit 4th (35 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 35 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 25 | 22 |
A question about Malacateco vs Comunicaciones?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malacateco vs Comunicaciones?
- The Footlab AI model makes Malacateco the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Comunicaciones.
- Where and when is Malacateco vs Comunicaciones played?
- Malacateco vs Comunicaciones is played on October 14, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía, in the Liga Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.