Where and when is Mancha Real vs Málaga II played?

Mancha Real vs Málaga II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mancha Real vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha Real

Málaga II

The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,691) and Málaga II (1,775).

Mancha Real win40 %

Draw30 %

Málaga II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Granada II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Málaga II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2025	Málaga II 2-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 22, 2024	Mancha Real 1-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 28, 2024	Málaga II 3-1 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 7, 2023	Mancha Real 2-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 5, 2020	Málaga II 2-1 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Mancha Real on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mancha Real	1.0	1.0	6	6/15	6/15
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	30	38	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Málaga II?: The Footlab model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Málaga II played?: Mancha Real vs Málaga II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.