Match

Mancha Real vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha RealMálaga II

The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mancha Real wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Málaga II?

On Elo ratings, Mancha Real has 1,655 points and Málaga II 1,791.

37%30%33%
Mancha Real winDrawMálaga II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Málaga II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mancha Real

Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.

Málaga II

4-3-3
  1. JJuani
  2. JJuanma Hernández
  3. RRubén Sánchez
  1. 32Rafael Garrido
  2. 44Jesús Martin
  3. AAlejandro Valcarce
  1. 38Pablo Arriaza
  2. 32Miguel Ángel
  3. ÁÁngel Recio
  4. IIván Benito Mancera
  1. 30Andrés Céspedes

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Málaga II have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Torre del Mar(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Huétor Vega(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Atletico de Marbella(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 13, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Almería II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 3, 2026Granada II(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 26, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 20, 2026Cantoria(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 12, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)6-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win, 1 draw, 3 Málaga II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 4, 2025Málaga II 2-0 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 22, 2024Mancha Real 1-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 28, 2024Málaga II 3-1 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 7, 2023Mancha Real 2-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 5, 2020Málaga II 2-1 Mancha RealTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Mancha Real on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mancha Real0.91.248/156/15
Málaga II1.71.9210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mancha Real sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (2 points from 6 matches) and Málaga II sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Málaga II631212610
17Mancha Real60243102

A question about Mancha Real vs Málaga II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Málaga II?
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Málaga II played?
Mancha Real vs Málaga II is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mancha Real and Málaga II

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