Malawi vs Lesotho: result 1-1 and analysis
COSAFA CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 14, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
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What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Malawi and Lesotho drew 1-1 on July 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′Jane ThabantsoLesotho
- 26′Chawanangwa KaongaMalawi (pen.)
- 120′M. SeraLesotho (pen.)
- 120′Jane ThabantsoLesotho (pen.)
- 120′S. MoeraneLesotho (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2023 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Seychelles(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2023 | Zambia(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2023 | Angola(away) | 2-4 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Mauritius(away) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Togo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malawi win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Lesotho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy