Malawi vs Lesotho: result 1-1 and analysis
COSAFA CupSemi-finalsKick-off on July 14, 2023 at 01:00 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Malawi and Lesotho drew 1-1 on July 14, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 18′Jane ThabantsoLesotho
- 26′Chawanangwa KaongaMalawi (pen.)
Official lineup for Malawi vs Lesotho
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Malawi
- 9C. Kumwembe
- 19Lanjesi Nkhoma
- 6L. Aaron
- 8Chimwemwe Idana
- 10Chawanangwa Kaonga
- 22Patrick Mwaungulu
- 12A. Lungu
- 2S. Sanudi
- 5D. Chembezi
- 7N. Mwase
- 1Brighton Munthali
Lesotho
- 5Tshwarelo Mattwes Bereng
- 6Lisema Richard Lebokollane
- 11Neo Mokhachane
- 15Jane Thabantso
- 18Tsepang Sefali
- 22Thabo Lesaoana
- 2Motlomelo Mkwanazi
- 3B. Makepe
- 17Thabang Malane
- 19R. Rasethuntša
- 16S. Moerane
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Lesotho have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2023 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Seychelles(home) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 6, 2023 | Zambia(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 20, 2023 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2023 | Angola(away) | 2-4 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Mozambique(away) | 1-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jul 7, 2023 | Mauritius(away) | 2-0 | COSAFA Cup |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Comoros(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 14, 2023 | Togo(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malawi wins, 3 draws, 1 Lesotho win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.9 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malawi vs Lesotho?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy