Malawi vs Lesotho: result 0-1 and analysis
COSAFA CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Free State Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein, FS
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Lesotho won 0-1 on June 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 83′?Lesotho
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Lesotho have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| May 3, 2025 | South Africa(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Namibia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Rwanda(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Angola(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Angola(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Morocco(away) | 0-7 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Central African Republic(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Malawi win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Lesotho win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | COSAFA Cup |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy