Malawi vs Lesotho: result 0-1 and analysis
COSAFA CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on June 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Free State Toyota Stadium, Bloemfontein, FS
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Lesotho won 0-1 on June 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 83′?Lesotho
Official lineup for Malawi vs Lesotho
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Malawi
- 4T. Toloane
- 7T. Letsema
- 10Lehlohonolo Fothoane
- 9k. Matamane
- 11P. Maile
- 5Thato Malakia Sefoli
- 13F. Matlabe
- 17Thabang Malane
- 19L. Matsau
- 20T. Makhele
- 1M. Seahlolo
Lesotho
- 7W. Mpinganjira
- 8Y. Singo
- 21C. Gumbo
- 1G. Chikooka
- 3T. Silwimba
- 4M. Paipi
- 9Z. Nkhoma
- 11C. Salima
- 19W. Lungu
- 2M. Lameck
- 5Blessings Mpokera
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Lesotho have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | South Africa(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| May 3, 2025 | South Africa(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2025 | Tunisia(away) | 0-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Namibia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Comoros(home) | 2-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | Rwanda(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Angola(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Angola(home) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Morocco(away) | 0-7 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Central African Republic(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Malawi wins, 4 draws, 1 Lesotho win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | COSAFA Cup |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
| Jul 6, 2022 | Lesotho 2-1 Malawi | COSAFA Cup |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho 1-1 Malawi | Friendlies |
| Nov 11, 2017 | Malawi 1-1 Lesotho | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.5 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Malawi vs Lesotho?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy