Malawi vs Lesotho: result 1-1 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on November 11, 2017 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
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What was the result of Malawi vs Lesotho?
Malawi and Lesotho drew 1-1 on November 11, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Lesotho have 3, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 4, 2017 | Togo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Comoros(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Apr 28, 2017 | Madagascar(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Apr 21, 2017 | Madagascar(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2017 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jul 22, 2017 | Comoros(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 14, 2017 | Comoros(away) | 0-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 4, 2017 | Mauritania(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Lesotho score 0.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Lesotho | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 4/10 | 1/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy