Malawi vs Madagascar: result 0-1 and analysis
African Nations Championship1st RoundKick-off on April 28, 2017 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
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What was the result of Malawi vs Madagascar?
Madagascar won 0-1 on April 28, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 5 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Madagascar have 4, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Madagascar(away) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Apr 18, 2017 | Kenya(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 30, 2015 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 27, 2015 | South Sudan(away) | 0-2 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Djibouti(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Malawi(home) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 22, 2017 | Sao Tome and Principe(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Senegal(away) | 0-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2015 | Senegal(home) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Malawi win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Madagascar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Madagascar 1-0 Malawi | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 12; Madagascar score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 2/12 | 3/12 |
| Madagascar | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 3/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Madagascar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy