Guinea-Bissau vs Guinea: result 1-3 and analysis
African Nations Championship1st RoundKick-off on July 14, 2017 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Nacional 24 de Setembro, Bissau
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What was the result of Guinea-Bissau vs Guinea?
Guinea won 1-3 on July 14, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Guinea-Bissau have 1 win, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Guinea have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2017 | Gambia(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Namibia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 25, 2017 | South Africa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 18, 2017 | Cameroon(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2017 | Ivory Coast(away) | 3-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jun 6, 2017 | Algeria(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Cameroon(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Gabon(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Congo DR(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea-Bissau score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 8; Guinea score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1 | 5/8 | 3/8 |
| Guinea | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy