Malawi vs Zambia: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 10, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Zambia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Botswana(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Botswana(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy