Malawi vs Zambia: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 10, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Zambia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Uganda(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | South Sudan(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 14, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Botswana(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Botswana(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy