Zambia vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 19, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zimbabwe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zambia(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Botswana(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Somalia(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zambia win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Zimbabwe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zambia 1-2 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Zambia 2-2 Zimbabwe | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | Friendlies |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zimbabwe 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Zambia 0-1 Zimbabwe | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy