Zambia vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 19, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Zimbabwe have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zambia(away) | 2-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2019 | Botswana(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Lesotho(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Somalia(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Zambia win, 3 draws, 2 Zimbabwe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zambia 1-2 Zimbabwe | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 21, 2018 | Zambia 2-2 Zimbabwe | Friendlies |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | Friendlies |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zimbabwe 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 24, 2013 | Zambia 0-1 Zimbabwe | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 18, 2013 | Zimbabwe 0-0 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Zambia vs Zimbabwe?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy