Zambia vs Uganda: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 16, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Uganda have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | Eritrea(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Tanzania(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Djibouti(home) | 4-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Eritrea(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Zambia win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Uganda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | Zambia 3-1 Uganda | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Uganda 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 2.1 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Uganda | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy