Zambia vs Uganda: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on March 16, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zambia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Uganda have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 14, 2019 | Algeria(away) | 0-5 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 9, 2019 | Namibia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Eswatini(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Benin(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2019 | Eritrea(home) | 3-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 17, 2019 | Tanzania(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Djibouti(home) | 4-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 11, 2019 | Eritrea(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Dec 9, 2019 | Somalia(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Zambia wins, 0 draws, 0 Uganda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | Zambia 3-1 Uganda | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Uganda 0-1 Zambia | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Zambia score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Uganda score 2.1 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zambia | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Uganda | 2.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Zambia vs Uganda?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy