Mallorca vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mallorca vs Cadiz?
Mallorca starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mallorca vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mallorca
4-4-2- 18Fuentes
- 20Pablo Torre
- 7Álex Sala
- 33Adrian Liso
- 6Antonio Sánchez
- 19Josep Cerdà
- 21Raíllo
- 15John Nwankwo
- 24M. Valjent
- 5Alberto Moreno
- 1Arnau Tenas
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mallorca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Girona(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mallorca wins, 3 draws, 1 Cadiz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2024 | Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Mallorca 1-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
| May 12, 2023 | Mallorca 1-0 Cadiz | La Liga |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Cadiz 2-0 Mallorca | La Liga |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Mallorca 2-1 Cadiz | La Liga |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Cadiz 1-1 Mallorca | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mallorca score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | 1.7 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mallorca sit 4th in Segunda División (17 points from 9 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Mallorca vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mallorca vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mallorca the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Mallorca vs Cadiz played?
- Mallorca vs Cadiz is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.