Malut United vs Bali United: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Bali United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malut United vs Bali United?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Malut United (1,765) and Bali United (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malut United have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bali United have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(away) | 1-7 | Liga 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Persita(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Persis Solo(home) | 5-2 | Liga 1 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | PSBS Biak Numfor(away) | 7-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Persib Bandung(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Dewa United(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Bhayangkara FC(home) | 4-1 | Liga 1 |
| May 11, 2026 | Pusamania Borneo(home) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| May 5, 2026 | Persepam Madura Utd(away) | 0-2 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Malut United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bali United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Bali United 4-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Malut United 3-3 Bali United | Liga 1 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Bali United 1-1 Malut United | Liga 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Malut United 1-4 Bali United | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Bali United vs Malut United on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Malut United score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bali United score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malut United | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Bali United | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malut United sit 6th in Liga 1 (53 points from 34 matches) and Bali United sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malut United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 48 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malut United vs Bali United?
- The Footlab model makes Malut United the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Bali United.
- Where and when is Malut United vs Bali United played?
- Malut United vs Bali United is played on October 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 16, 2026Pusamania BorneovsDewa United
- Oct 16, 2026PSIM YogyakartavsPSM Makassar
- Oct 16, 2026Persepam Madura UtdvsBhayangkara FC
- Oct 16, 2026PersijapvsAdhyaksa
- Oct 17, 2026GarudayaksavsArema FC
- Oct 17, 2026PersitavsPersija
- Oct 18, 2026Persebaya SurabayavsPSS Sleman
- Oct 18, 2026Persib BandungvsPersik Kediri