Match

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats

Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane

Mamelodi SundownsOrlando Pirates

The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Orlando Pirates. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mamelodi Sundowns wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Mamelodi Sundowns (2,072) and Orlando Pirates (2,034).

45%30%25%
Mamelodi Sundowns winDrawOrlando Pirates win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mamelodi Sundowns

4-2-3-1
  1. 13I. Rayners
  1. 4T. Mokoena
  2. 17T. Matthews
  3. 11M. Allende
  4. 33C. Mailula
  5. 38S. Mthanti
  1. 3K. Ndamane
  2. 42Malibongwe Khoza
  3. 22T. Matuludi
  4. 23F. Basadien
  1. 30R. Williams

Orlando Pirates

4-2-3-1
  1. 25B. Radiopane
  1. 33T. Mokobodi
  2. 20S. Selepe
  3. 48S. Masilela
  4. 23G. Lungu
  5. 12O. Appollis
  1. 6L. Seema
  2. 5N. Sibisi
  3. 3N. Ndaba
  4. 36K. Sebelebele
  1. 24S. Chaine

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:54 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Orlando Pirates have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mamelodi Sundowns
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Wiliete(away)0-0CAF Champions League
Oct 13, 2026Richards Bay(away)4-1Premier Soccer League
Oct 10, 2026Orlando Pirates(away)2-08 Cup
Sep 19, 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah(home)2-1FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Sep 12, 2026Chippa United(away)1-1Premier Soccer League
Orlando Pirates
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026African Stars(away)1-0CAF Champions League
Oct 13, 2026TS Galaxy(home)3-0Premier Soccer League
Oct 10, 2026Mamelodi Sundowns(home)0-28 Cup
Sep 20, 2026Marumo Gallants(away)2-0Premier Soccer League
Sep 17, 2026Durban City(home)2-0Premier Soccer League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mamelodi Sundowns wins, 3 draws, 1 Orlando Pirates win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Orlando Pirates 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns8 Cup
Feb 18, 2026Orlando Pirates 1-2 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
Nov 1, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando PiratesPremier Soccer League
Aug 23, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 Orlando Pirates8 Cup
Aug 16, 2025Orlando Pirates 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns8 Cup
Mar 16, 2025Orlando Pirates 2-1 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League

Last archived meeting: Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.9 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mamelodi Sundowns2.20.959/158/15
Orlando Pirates1.90.3113/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st in Premier Soccer League (23 points from 9 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 2nd (22 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns972023823
2Orlando Pirates871019122

A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates?
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Orlando Pirates.
Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates played?
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Orlando Pirates is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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