Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab AI model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?
Golden Arrows starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Golden Arrows
4-3-3- 18S. Dion
- 36P. Kumalo
- 28R. Van Neel
- 25A. Maxwele
- 24N. Dlamini
- 41N. Zwane
- 3K. Shezi
- 20O. Maluleke
- 26E. Agnikoi
- 35T. Mantshiyane
- 27T. Mbanjwa
Richards Bay
4-3-3- 20M. Mthembu
- 27N. Xulu
- 19S. Nzama
- 77L. Khumalo
- 12S. Gumbi
- 8L. Zikhali
- 25S. Mcineka
- 22L. Mabuya
- 37S. Gwele
- 5T. Sikhakhane
- 1Ian Aubrey Otieno
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Richards Bay have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Siwelele(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 2-3 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-5 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Golden Arrows wins, 2 draws, 1 Richards Bay win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Richards Bay 2-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| May 17, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Golden Arrows 0-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Golden Arrows 2-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Richards Bay 1-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Golden Arrows on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Richards Bay | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 8th in Premier Soccer League (8 points from 7 matches) and Richards Bay sit 15th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
A question about Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay played?
- Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay is played on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.