Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Golden Arrows (1,803) and Richards Bay (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Richards Bay have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chippa United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Golden Arrows win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Richards Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Richards Bay 2-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Golden Arrows 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| May 17, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-0 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Golden Arrows 0-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Golden Arrows 2-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2023 | Richards Bay 1-2 Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Golden Arrows on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows | 0.7 | 0.5 | 11 | 3/15 | 2/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 3 matches) and Richards Bay sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Golden Arrows | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Golden Arrows the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay played?
- Golden Arrows vs Richards Bay is played on January 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.