Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete: prediction and stats
CAF Champions League2nd Preliminary RoundKick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Wiliete. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
Mamelodi Sundowns starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,076 vs 1,896).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-2-3-1- 12B. León
- 4T. Mokoena
- 17T. Matthews
- 11M. Allende
- 33C. Mailula
- 38S. Mthanti
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 27T. Morena
- 30R. Williams
Known absences
T. ZwaneOut · Suspended (red card)
Wiliete
Not enough data to predict the Wiliete lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 12:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mamelodi Sundowns have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Wiliete have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Richards Bay(away) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 2-0 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(home) | 2-1 | FIFA Intercontinental Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kabuscorp(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 5-0 | Girabola |
| Sep 13, 2026 | FC Luanda(home) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Foresters(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Foresters(home) | 4-0 | CAF Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wiliete score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Wiliete | 1.7 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Wiliete.
- Where and when is Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete played?
- Mamelodi Sundowns vs Wiliete is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Loftus Versfeld Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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