Manfredonia vs USD Palmese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miramare, Manfredonia
The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for USD Palmese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manfredonia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manfredonia vs USD Palmese?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Manfredonia (1,676) and USD Palmese (1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manfredonia vs USD Palmese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manfredonia
Not enough data to predict the Manfredonia lineup.
USD Palmese
Not enough data to predict the USD Palmese lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manfredonia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; USD Palmese have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Manfredonia wins, 1 draw, 0 USD Palmese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | USD Palmese 1-1 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Manfredonia 3-0 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 7, 2024 | USD Palmese 0-3 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Manfredonia 2-1 USD Palmese | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: USD Palmese vs Manfredonia on Apr 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Manfredonia score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; USD Palmese score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfredonia | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| USD Palmese | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manfredonia sit 8th in Serie D - Girone H (11 points from 7 matches) and USD Palmese sit 13th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manfredonia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | USD Palmese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Manfredonia vs USD Palmese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manfredonia vs USD Palmese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for USD Palmese.
- Where and when is Manfredonia vs USD Palmese played?
- Manfredonia vs USD Palmese is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miramare, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.