Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Normanna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,481 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna?
On Elo ratings, Virtus Francavilla has 1,824 points and Real Normanna 1,752.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Real Normanna
Not enough data to predict the Real Normanna lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 02:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Real Normanna have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Turris(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Manfredonia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 28, 2026 | L'Aquila(home) | 6-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gladiator(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Virtus Francavilla win, 1 draw, 0 Real Normanna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Real Normanna 0-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla 2-1 Real Normanna | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Real Normanna vs Virtus Francavilla on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Normanna score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Normanna | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Francavilla sit 1st in Serie D - Girone H (21 points from 9 matches) and Real Normanna sit 8th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 21 |
| 8 | Real Normanna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Real Normanna.
- Where and when is Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna played?
- Virtus Francavilla vs Real Normanna is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.