Martina Franca vs Melfi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi, Martina Franca
The Footlab AI model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Melfi. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,836 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Martina Franca vs Melfi?
Martina Franca starts as the favourite with a 273-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,611).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Martina Franca vs Melfi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Martina Franca
Not enough data to predict the Martina Franca lineup.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 06:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Martina Franca have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Melfi have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 24, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Martina Franca score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Melfi score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Franca | 1.7 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Melfi | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Martina Franca sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone H (22 points from 10 matches) and Melfi sit 17th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martina Franca | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
| 17 | Melfi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Martina Franca vs Melfi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Martina Franca vs Melfi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 67%, against 22% for a draw and 11% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Martina Franca vs Melfi played?
- Martina Franca vs Melfi is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.