Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Degli Ulivi, Andria
The Footlab AI model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Nocerina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fidelis Andria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Fidelis Andria (1,773) and Nocerina (1,767).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fidelis Andria
4-3-3- 98D. Bolsius
- 9D. Ventola
- 29C. Micovschi
- 88A. Marino
- 18K. Candellori
- 77S. Paolini
- 16P. Ciotti
- 21A. Dalmazzi
- 13J. Borg
- 15F. Delvino
- 1A. Savini
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 05:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fidelis Andria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nocerina have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fidelis Andria win, 0 draws, 2 Nocerina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Fidelis Andria 0-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Nocerina 3-1 Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 24, 2019 | Nocerina 1-5 Fidelis Andria | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fidelis Andria score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fidelis Andria | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fidelis Andria sit 9th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 9 matches) and Nocerina sit 8th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nocerina | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Fidelis Andria | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fidelis Andria the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Nocerina.
- Where and when is Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina played?
- Fidelis Andria vs Nocerina is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Degli Ulivi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.