Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, Manisa
The Footlab model makes Bodrum FK the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Manisa F.K.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Manisa F.K. (1,820) and Bodrum FK (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manisa F.K. have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Bodrum FK have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 4-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 2-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Serik Spor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | İstanbulspor(away) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 15, 2026 | Çorum FK(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| May 11, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manisa F.K. win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bodrum FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Bodrum FK 1-2 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Manisa F.K. 0-4 Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Manisa F.K. 0-1 Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Bodrum FK 2-0 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
| Mar 8, 2023 | Manisa F.K. 2-1 Bodrum FK | 1. Lig |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Bodrum FK 1-1 Manisa F.K. | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bodrum FK vs Manisa F.K. on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manisa F.K. score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bodrum FK score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manisa F.K. | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bodrum FK | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manisa F.K. sit 2nd in 1. Lig (6 points from 2 matches) and Bodrum FK sit 15th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Manisa F.K. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 15 | Bodrum FK | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK?
- The Footlab model makes Bodrum FK the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Manisa F.K..
- Where and when is Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK played?
- Manisa F.K. vs Bodrum FK is played on August 30, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Mümin Özkasap Spor Tesisleri, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.