Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bandırmaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Pendikspor (1,818) and Bandırmaspor (1,875).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pendikspor have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Bandırmaspor have 7, 8 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Antalyaspor(away) | 3-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(away) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 7, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Keçiörengücü(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Sivasspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pendikspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bandırmaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Bandırmaspor 4-1 Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Pendikspor 2-0 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| May 10, 2025 | Bandırmaspor 2-1 Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Pendikspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| May 16, 2023 | Pendikspor 2-1 Bandırmaspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 18, 2022 | Bandırmaspor 1-0 Pendikspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Bandırmaspor vs Pendikspor on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pendikspor score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bandırmaspor score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendikspor | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Bandırmaspor | 1.1 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pendikspor sit 10th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Bandırmaspor sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bandırmaspor | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Pendikspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Pendikspor the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Bandırmaspor.
- Where and when is Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor played?
- Pendikspor vs Bandırmaspor is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Siltaş Yapı Pendik Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.