Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, Muğla
The Footlab AI model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sarıyer. The most likely score is 1-1. If Muğlaspor wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,863 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Muğlaspor (1,834) and Sarıyer (1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1- 27I. Sissoko
- 11M. Diarra
- 23A. Güneren
- 10D. Avramovski
- 20B. Bulut
- 91İ. Furat
- 88Yiğit Fidan
- 44L. Del Pino
- 15O. Nahırcı
- 28A. Engin
- 17E. Kılıçarslan
Sarıyer
4-4-2- 90E. Eze
- 17D. Davas
- 10E. Karaca
- 7B. Alici
- 53A. Biyogo Poko
- 28H. Yeşilyurt
- 5E. Korkmazoğlu
- 24K. Arslan
- 88C. Osmanpaşa
- 23Ü. Ergün
- 13I. Šehić
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 09:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muğlaspor have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Sarıyer have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | İstanbulspor(home) | 5-0 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Manisa F.K.(away) | 4-3 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ayvalikgucu(home) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 0-2 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 1-4 | 1. Lig |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Muğlaspor wins, 1 draw, 1 Sarıyer win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sarıyer 2-0 Muğlaspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Muğlaspor 2-2 Sarıyer | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Muğlaspor score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sarıyer score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muğlaspor | 1.3 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Sarıyer | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Muğlaspor sit 7th in 1. Lig (18 points from 12 matches) and Sarıyer sit 11th (16 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Muğlaspor | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 11 | Sarıyer | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
A question about Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer?
- The Footlab AI model makes Muğlaspor the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sarıyer.
- Where and when is Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer played?
- Muğlaspor vs Sarıyer is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Muğla Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.