Marcílio Dias vs Caxias: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 14, 2020 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Caxias?
Marcílio Dias won 1-0 on October 14, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 68′Zé SantosMarcílio Dias
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Caxias have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2020 | Tubarao(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 7, 2020 | São Caetano(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Joinville(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2020 | Pelotas(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2020 | Joinville(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2020 | São Luiz(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Pelotas(away) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Tubarao(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Sep 19, 2020 | São Caetano(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 0.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Caxias score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Caxias | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marcílio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy