Marcílio Dias vs Penapolense: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 3Kick-off on July 7, 2013 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
Full time
What was the result of Marcílio Dias vs Penapolense?
Marcílio Dias won 2-1 on July 7, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 30′Rodrigo Silva de JesusMarcílio Dias (pen.)
- 33′José Ivelton Santana de JesúsMarcílio Dias
- 74′NeílsonPenapolense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Marcílio Dias have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Penapolense have 0, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2013 | Juventude(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 1, 2013 | Santo André(home) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2013 | Juventude(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Marcílio Dias score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 2; Penapolense score 1.0 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcílio Dias | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/2 |
| Penapolense | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Marcílio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy