Marek vs CSKA Sofia II: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marek vs CSKA Sofia II?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Marek (1,644) and CSKA Sofia II (1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marek have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; CSKA Sofia II have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Marek win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 CSKA Sofia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II 0-1 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Marek 1-1 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| May 7, 2025 | Marek 1-0 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Nov 11, 2024 | CSKA Sofia II 1-2 Marek | Second League |
| May 6, 2023 | Marek 2-2 CSKA Sofia II | Third League - Southwest |
| Mar 31, 2023 | CSKA Sofia II 0-0 Marek | Third League - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: CSKA Sofia II vs Marek on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marek sit 10th in Second League (6 points from 5 matches) and CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marek vs CSKA Sofia II?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Marek.
- Where and when is Marek vs CSKA Sofia II played?
- Marek vs CSKA Sofia II is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Bonchuk, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026NesebarvsChernomorets 1919 Burgas
- Oct 31, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsBeroe
- Oct 31, 2026MontanavsSpartak Pleven
- Oct 31, 2026DobrudzhavsFratria
- Oct 31, 2026Pirin BlagoevgradvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Oct 31, 2026Yantra 2019vsHebar 1918
- Oct 31, 2026Rilski SportistvsVihren
- Oct 31, 2026Sportist SvogevsLudogorets II