Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
Etar Veliko Tarnovo starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,652 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Etar Veliko Tarnovo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 0-7 | Second League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 2-3 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sportist Svoge(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | CSKA Sofia II(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 1-5 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Marek(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Yantra 2019(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nesebar(away) | 5-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Pirin Blagoevgrad win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-2 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| Mar 6, 2025 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad | Second League |
| Aug 27, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | Second League |
| May 17, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-2 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Pirin Blagoevgrad 2-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo | First League |
Last archived meeting: Etar Veliko Tarnovo vs Pirin Blagoevgrad on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etar Veliko Tarnovo score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0.8 | 2.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th in Second League (0 points from 5 matches) and Etar Veliko Tarnovo sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?
- The Footlab model makes Etar Veliko Tarnovo the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Where and when is Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo played?
- Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.