Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Davit Abashidzis Sakhelobis Stadioni, Zestaponi
The Footlab model makes Margveti 2006 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Merani Tbilisi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Margveti 2006 (1,245) and Merani Tbilisi (1,267).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Margveti 2006 have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Merani Tbilisi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Irao(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | WIT Georgia(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Varketili(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi II(away) | 4-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guria(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-6 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Irao(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Margveti 2006 win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Merani Tbilisi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Merani Tbilisi 0-1 Margveti 2006 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Merani Tbilisi 3-2 Margveti 2006 | Liga 3 |
| May 1, 2025 | Margveti 2006 2-1 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Jun 10, 2024 | Margveti 2006 0-3 Merani Tbilisi | David Kipiani Cup |
Last archived meeting: Merani Tbilisi vs Margveti 2006 on Apr 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Margveti 2006 score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Merani Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margveti 2006 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Margveti 2006 sit 11th in Liga 3 (21 points from 18 matches) and Merani Tbilisi sit 7th (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 29 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi?
- The Footlab model makes Margveti 2006 the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Merani Tbilisi.
- Where and when is Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi played?
- Margveti 2006 vs Merani Tbilisi is played on September 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Davit Abashidzis Sakhelobis Stadioni, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.