Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 21Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sport-kompleksi Shatili, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Merani Tbilisi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Kolkheti Khobi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Merani Tbilisi (1,267) and Kolkheti Khobi (1,198).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Tbilisi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kolkheti Khobi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guria(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-6 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Irao(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | WIT Georgia(home) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Varketili(away) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merani Tbilisi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kolkheti Khobi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi 3-3 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Merani Tbilisi 3-1 Kolkheti Khobi | Liga 3 |
| May 29, 2025 | Kolkheti Khobi 1-1 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
| Oct 27, 2023 | Merani Tbilisi 1-1 Kolkheti Khobi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Kolkheti Khobi 2-0 Merani Tbilisi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 15, 2023 | Merani Tbilisi 0-5 Kolkheti Khobi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kolkheti Khobi vs Merani Tbilisi on Apr 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merani Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kolkheti Khobi score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Kolkheti Khobi | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merani Tbilisi sit 7th in Liga 3 (29 points from 18 matches) and Kolkheti Khobi sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 29 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi?
- The Footlab model makes Merani Tbilisi the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Kolkheti Khobi.
- Where and when is Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi played?
- Merani Tbilisi vs Kolkheti Khobi is played on September 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sport-kompleksi Shatili, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.