Maribor vs Radomlje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ljudski vrt, Maribor
The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Radomlje. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maribor vs Radomlje?
Maribor starts as the favourite with a 223-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Maribor vs Radomlje
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Maribor
4-3-3- 70I. Tshipamba
- 17J. Mlakar
- 99B. Feta
- 7T. Cipot
- 5Ž. Jevšenak
- 8Claude Gonçalves
- 25M. Blažič
- 6B. M'bondo
- 21V. Koderman
- 23Ž. Karničnik
- 1A. Jug
Radomlje
4-3-3- 9V. Pelko
- 23J. Balic
- 7D. Ikenna
- 7D. Ikenna
- 11J. Martinčič
- 41M. Žaper
- 2A. Bosec
- 87B. Graonic
- 22Aleksa Paić
- 4B. Anželj
- 1S. Pridgar
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maribor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Radomlje have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 28, 2026 | HNK Gorica(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Radomlje(away) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mura(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Koper(home) | 3-3 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 0-3 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maribor wins, 2 draws, 1 Radomlje win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Radomlje 0-3 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| May 3, 2026 | Radomlje 2-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Maribor 2-2 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Radomlje 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Maribor 5-1 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Maribor 4-0 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Maribor score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Radomlje score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Radomlje | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maribor sit 1st in 1. SNL (23 points from 11 matches) and Radomlje sit 10th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 9 | 23 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
A question about Maribor vs Radomlje?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maribor vs Radomlje?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maribor the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Radomlje.
- Where and when is Maribor vs Radomlje played?
- Maribor vs Radomlje is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ljudski vrt, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.