Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Olimpija Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Olimpija Ljubljana (1,784) and Koper (1,882).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpija Ljubljana have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Koper have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mura(away) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Olimpija Ljubljana win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Koper win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Koper 3-2 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana 3-3 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Koper 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-3 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Koper 1-2 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Koper vs Olimpija Ljubljana on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpija Ljubljana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Koper score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Koper | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpija Ljubljana sit 7th in 1. SNL (7 points from 6 matches) and Koper sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Koper | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper?
- The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Olimpija Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper played?
- Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper is played on December 5, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stožice, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.