Marines vs Al Merreikh: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Umuganda, Gisenyi
The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Marines. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Merreikh wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,515 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marines vs Al Merreikh?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Marines (1,668) and Al Merreikh (1,735).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marines vs Al Merreikh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Al Merreikh
4-3-3- 29Ramadan Agab
- 32S. Patiño
- 28A. Balouchy
- 7Mohamed Al Rashed
- 8Wagdi Awad
- 30Anas Mohamed
- 13Ahmed Yousif Tabanja
- 2Adam Babajide
- 33Dia Wah Mickaël
- 25Elsamani Saadeldin
- 16O. Ojo
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marines have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Al Merreikh have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Police(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Horoya(home) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Horoya(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marines wins, 1 draw, 1 Al Merreikh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Marines 1-1 Al Merreikh | National Soccer League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Al Merreikh 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marines vs Al Merreikh on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marines score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Al Merreikh score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marines | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Al Merreikh | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marines sit 4th in National Soccer League (11 points from 7 matches) and Al Merreikh sit 17th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marines | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 11 |
| 17 | Al Merreikh | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
A question about Marines vs Al Merreikh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marines vs Al Merreikh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Merreikh the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Marines.
- Where and when is Marines vs Al Merreikh played?
- Marines vs Al Merreikh is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Umuganda, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.