Sunrise vs Musanze: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Golgotha Stadium, Nyagatare
The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 1-1. If Musanze wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunrise vs Musanze?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Sunrise (1,540) and Musanze (1,604).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunrise vs Musanze
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunrise
Not enough data to predict the Sunrise lineup.
Musanze
Not enough data to predict the Musanze lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunrise have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Musanze have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Police(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sunrise wins, 1 draw, 3 Musanze wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | Sunrise 0-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Musanze 2-1 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Sunrise 3-1 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Musanze 1-0 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Sunrise 5-1 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Mar 4, 2020 | Sunrise 1-2 Musanze | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sunrise score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Musanze score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunrise | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Musanze | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunrise sit 8th in National Soccer League (6 points from 5 matches) and Musanze sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sunrise | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | Musanze | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Sunrise vs Musanze?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunrise vs Musanze?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is Sunrise vs Musanze played?
- Sunrise vs Musanze is played on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Golgotha Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.