Bugesera vs Mukura: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Bugesera Stadium, Nyamata
The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mukura. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bugesera wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bugesera vs Mukura?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Bugesera (1,669) and Mukura (1,675).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bugesera vs Mukura
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bugesera
Not enough data to predict the Bugesera lineup.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bugesera have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Mukura have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Etincelles(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Rutsiro(away) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 26, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 30, 2026 | Amagaju(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Gicumbi(away) | 2-3 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Bugesera wins, 3 draws, 3 Mukura wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Mukura 2-2 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Bugesera 0-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2025 | Mukura 1-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bugesera 0-0 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Bugesera 0-2 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Mukura 2-1 Bugesera | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Bugesera score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mukura score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bugesera | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| Mukura | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bugesera sit 13th in National Soccer League (3 points from 2 matches) and Mukura sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mukura | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Bugesera | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
A question about Bugesera vs Mukura?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bugesera vs Mukura?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bugesera the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mukura.
- Where and when is Bugesera vs Mukura played?
- Bugesera vs Mukura is played on December 9, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Bugesera Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.