Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Villa Santa Brígida (1,758) and Marino (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Telde(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Marino(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Marino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida 3-0 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Marino 2-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-1 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Marino 1-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Marino 1-0 Villa Santa Brígida | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Villa Santa Brígida 1-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa Santa Brígida | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Marino | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (50 points from 34 matches) and Marino sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Villa Santa Brígida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42 | 35 | 50 |
| 12 | Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino?
- The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Marino.
- Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino played?
- Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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