Match

Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Los Olivos, Santa Brígida

Villa Santa BrígidaMarino

The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Villa Santa Brígida (1,758) and Marino (1,709).

Villa Santa Brígida win54 %
Draw26 %
Marino win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villa Santa Brígida have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villa Santa Brígida
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 8, 2026Telde(away)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Marino(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Mensajero(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Tenerife C(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026San Bartolomé(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Tenerife(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Arucas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026San Miguel(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Villa Santa Brígida win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Marino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida 3-0 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 4, 2026Marino 2-0 Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 25, 2025Villa Santa Brígida 1-1 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 15, 2024Marino 1-0 Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 28, 2024Marino 1-0 Villa Santa BrígidaTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Dec 16, 2023Villa Santa Brígida 1-2 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villa Santa Brígida score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Villa Santa Brígida1.31.147/158/15
Marino0.71.538/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villa Santa Brígida sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (50 points from 34 matches) and Marino sit 12th (39 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Villa Santa Brígida3415514423550
12Marino3481511444039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino?
The Footlab model makes Villa Santa Brígida the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Marino.
Where and when is Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino played?
Villa Santa Brígida vs Marino is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Los Olivos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Villa Santa Brígida and Marino

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