Where and when is Marino vs Panadería Pulido played?

Marino vs Panadería Pulido is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

Marino

Panadería Pulido

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs Panadería Pulido?

Panadería Pulido starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,704).

Marino win29 %

Draw29 %

Panadería Pulido win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marino win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Panadería Pulido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Marino 0-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2025	Panadería Pulido 2-2 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 15, 2025	Panadería Pulido 3-0 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 3, 2024	Marino 1-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 5, 2024	Marino 2-1 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 13, 2024	Panadería Pulido 2-1 Marino	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Marino vs Panadería Pulido on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marino sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (39 points from 34 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs Panadería Pulido?: The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Marino.
Where and when is Marino vs Panadería Pulido played?: Marino vs Panadería Pulido is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.