Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Playas Sotavento (1,746) and Las Palmas III (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Playas Sotavento have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2024 | Gévora(away) | 1-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tenisca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Playas Sotavento score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Playas Sotavento | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab model makes Playas Sotavento the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Las Palmas III.
- Where and when is Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III played?
- Playas Sotavento vs Las Palmas III is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026MensajerovsTenerife C
- Sep 13, 2026LanzarotevsSan Miguel
- Sep 13, 2026MarinovsPanadería Pulido
- Sep 13, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsAnaza
- Sep 13, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsSan Bartolomé
- Sep 13, 2026EstrellavsVillaverde Norte
- Sep 13, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsLos Llanos
- Sep 13, 2026Laguna de DuerovsSan Fernando CD