Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido played?

Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, Yaiza (Lanzarote)

Unión Sur Yaiza

Panadería Pulido

The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Unión Sur Yaiza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Unión Sur Yaiza (1,711) and Panadería Pulido (1,809).

Unión Sur Yaiza win27 %

Draw29 %

Panadería Pulido win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Sur Yaiza have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Panadería Pulido have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Sur Yaiza
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Panadería Pulido(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Telde(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Marino(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Arucas(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026	Mensajero(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Panadería Pulido
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	UD San Fernando(away)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	San Miguel(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Atlético Paso(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Unión Sur Yaiza win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Panadería Pulido win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Panadería Pulido 0-0 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 10, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza 0-3 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jun 8, 2024	Unión Sur Yaiza 3-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 2, 2024	Panadería Pulido 1-1 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Feb 10, 2024	Unión Sur Yaiza 1-0 Panadería Pulido	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 23, 2023	Panadería Pulido 1-1 Unión Sur Yaiza	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Panadería Pulido vs Unión Sur Yaiza on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Sur Yaiza score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Panadería Pulido score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unión Sur Yaiza	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	8/15
Panadería Pulido	1.0	1.2	3	8/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unión Sur Yaiza sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (38 points from 34 matches) and Panadería Pulido sit 5th (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Panadería Pulido	34	15	10	9	47	33	55
13	Unión Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33	43	38

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido?: The Footlab model makes Panadería Pulido the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Unión Sur Yaiza.
Where and when is Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido played?: Unión Sur Yaiza vs Panadería Pulido is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Yaiza, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.