Estrella vs Villaverde Norte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Palmitas, Gran Canaria
The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Villaverde Norte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estrella vs Villaverde Norte?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estrella have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Villaverde Norte have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Herbania(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | San Bartolomé(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Santa Úrsula(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Buzanada(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Marino(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estrella vs Villaverde Norte?
- The Footlab model makes Estrella the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Villaverde Norte.
- Where and when is Estrella vs Villaverde Norte played?
- Estrella vs Villaverde Norte is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Palmitas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026MensajerovsTenerife C
- Sep 13, 2026LanzarotevsSan Miguel
- Sep 13, 2026MarinovsPanadería Pulido
- Sep 13, 2026Villa Santa BrígidavsAnaza
- Sep 13, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsSan Bartolomé
- Sep 13, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsLos Llanos
- Sep 13, 2026Laguna de DuerovsSan Fernando CD
- Sep 13, 2026Playas SotaventovsLas Palmas III