Marino vs Los Llanos: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Los Llanos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Los Llanos?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Marino (1,705) and Los Llanos (1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; Los Llanos have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Tenerife(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Arucas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Marino win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Los Llanos win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Marino 4-0 Los Llanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Los Llanos 0-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Los Llanos?
- The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Los Llanos.
- Where and when is Marino vs Los Llanos played?
- Marino vs Los Llanos is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027MensajerovsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 17, 2027LanzarotevsAnaza
- Jan 17, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsTenerife C
- Jan 17, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsVillaverde Norte
- Jan 17, 2027EstrellavsSan Miguel
- Jan 17, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 17, 2027Laguna de DuerovsLas Palmas III
- Jan 17, 2027Playas SotaventovsSan Bartolomé