Marseille W vs Montpellier W: prediction and stats
Feminine Division 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Paul Le Cesne, Marseille
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille W the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Montpellier W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marseille W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,953 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marseille W vs Montpellier W?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Marseille W (1,671) and Montpellier W (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marseille W vs Montpellier W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marseille W
4-3-3- 9M. Bourdieu
- 20C. Lavogez
- 6C. Baltrip-Reyes
- 88S. Elisor
- 8L. Missimo
- 14J. Perret
- 27Nelly Rodrigues
- 4M. Cosson
- 18Bea
- 7L. Fleury
- 1E. Burns
Montpellier W
4-1-4-1- 11J. Rouquet
- 20A. Fontaine
- 18A. JelenÄiÄ
- 10A. Binaté
- 6E. Palis
- 11J. Rouquet
- 4M. Torrent
- 12G. Gillard
- 21S. Haering
- 13M. Revelli
- 16S. Durand
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 02:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille W have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Montpellier W have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FC Fleury 91 W(home) | 2-2 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Strasbourg W(away) | 3-3 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Montpellier W(away) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lens W(home) | 2-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Le Havre W(home) | 1-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Le Havre W(home) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Nantes W(away) | 1-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Marseille W(home) | 0-0 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint-Malo W(away) | 0-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Toulouse W(home) | 5-1 | Feminine Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marseille W win, 1 draw, 4 Montpellier W wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Montpellier W 0-0 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Marseille W 1-2 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Montpellier W 0-3 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Marseille W 0-3 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Jan 13, 2018 | Montpellier W 3-2 Marseille W | Feminine Division 1 |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Marseille W 1-4 Montpellier W | Feminine Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Montpellier W vs Marseille W on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille W score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Montpellier W score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille W | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Montpellier W | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille W sit 4th in Feminine Division 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Montpellier W sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marseille W | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Montpellier W | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
A question about Marseille W vs Montpellier W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marseille W vs Montpellier W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marseille W the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Montpellier W.
- Where and when is Marseille W vs Montpellier W played?
- Marseille W vs Montpellier W is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Paul Le Cesne, in the Feminine Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.