Match

Martinenc vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 26Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

MartinencTona

The Footlab AI model makes Martinenc the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Martinenc wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Martinenc vs Tona?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Martinenc (1,758) and Tona (1,735).

47%26%27%
Martinenc winDrawTona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Martinenc vs Tona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Martinenc

Not enough data to predict the Martinenc lineup.

Tona

Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Martinenc have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Tona have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Martinenc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Cerdanyola del Vallès(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 11, 2026Montañesa(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 27, 2026L'Escala(away)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026Europa II(home)3-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Grama(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Tona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Grama(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 3, 2026Badalona(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 26, 2026San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 19, 2026Pobla Mafumet(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Sep 13, 2026Peralada(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

How many goals should we expect?

Martinenc score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 6; Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Martinenc2.22.006/65/6
Tona0.71.176/155/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Martinenc sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (9 points from 6 matches) and Tona sit 16th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Martinenc623113129
16Tona6204596

A question about Martinenc vs Tona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Martinenc vs Tona?
The Footlab AI model makes Martinenc the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Tona.
Where and when is Martinenc vs Tona played?
Martinenc vs Tona is played on March 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Martinenc and Tona

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