Tona vs Montañesa: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Tona, Tona
The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Montañesa. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,591 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tona vs Montañesa?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Tona (1,732) and Montañesa (1,747).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tona vs Montañesa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tona
Not enough data to predict the Tona lineup.
Montañesa
Not enough data to predict the Montañesa lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tona have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Montañesa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grama(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Badalona(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | San Juan Atletico de Montcada(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pobla Mafumet(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Peralada(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | L'Escala(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Martinenc(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Europa II(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grama(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Badalona(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tona win, 2 draws, 3 Montañesa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tona 0-0 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Montañesa 1-0 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tona 2-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Montañesa 1-4 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Tona 1-2 Montañesa | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Montañesa 3-2 Tona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tona score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Montañesa score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tona | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Montañesa | 1.2 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tona sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (6 points from 6 matches) and Montañesa sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montañesa | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 16 | Tona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Tona vs Montañesa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tona vs Montañesa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tona the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Montañesa.
- Where and when is Tona vs Montañesa played?
- Tona vs Montañesa is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Tona, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.