Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils: result 1-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 11, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils?
Mārupe won 1-0 on May 11, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 90′?Mārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; JFK Ventspils have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Tukums II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Skanste(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2024 | Smiltene(home) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Valmiera II(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Tukums II(away) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 2.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 14; JFK Ventspils score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 2.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/14 | 8/14 |
| JFK Ventspils | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mārupe sit 6th in 1. Liga (32 points from 22 matches) and JFK Ventspils sit 12th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 34 | 32 |
| 12 | JFK Ventspils | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 45 | 15 |
A question about Mārupe vs JFK Ventspils?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy