Mārupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine: result 2-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on May 25, 2024 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Mārupe won 2-1 on May 25, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 69′?Mārupe
- 76′?Mārupe
- 78′?Progress / AFA Olaine
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Progress / AFA Olaine have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Valmiera II(away) | 0-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | JFK Ventspils(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Tukums II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-4 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2024 | Smiltene(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 12, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Valmiera II(away) | 2-3 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | JFK Ventspils(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Tukums II(away) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 2.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.5 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 2.7 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy