Mārupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine: result 5-1 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 25, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Progress / AFA Olaine?
Mārupe won 5-1 on October 25, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′M. SulaMārupe
- 45′M. SulaMārupe
- 57′M. OliynykMārupe
- 71′K. PantelejevsProgress / AFA Olaine
- 85′R. KorzansMārupe
- 90′V. CebotarjovsMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Progress / AFA Olaine have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | Skanste(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Riga FC II(away) | 2-7 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | JDFS Alberts(home) | 1-6 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Smiltene(home) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Mārupe win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2025 | Progress / AFA Olaine 1-4 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine 5-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Mārupe 2-1 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe on Jun 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.8 and concede 3.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.8 | 3.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy