Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe: result 1-4 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on June 29, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olaines stadions, Olaine
Full time
What was the result of Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe?
Mārupe won 1-4 on June 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 37′E. PavlenkoProgress / AFA Olaine
- 52′R. SpeksMārupe
- 60′K. JansonsMārupe
- 65′M. OliynykMārupe
- 87′K. KorsaksMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progress / AFA Olaine have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Mārupe have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Pļaviņas / DM(away) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 3-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Augšdaugava(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| May 31, 2025 | Augšdaugava(home) | 3-1 | Cup |
| May 25, 2025 | Riga FC II(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2025 | Rīga United(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Leevon / PPK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 31, 2025 | Ķekava / Auda(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| May 24, 2025 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| May 17, 2025 | Skanste(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Progress / AFA Olaine win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Mārupe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine 5-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Mārupe 2-1 Progress / AFA Olaine | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Progress / AFA Olaine vs Mārupe on Sep 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Progress / AFA Olaine score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mārupe score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progress / AFA Olaine | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Mārupe | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy