Mārupe vs Tukums II: result 1-0 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 1Kick-off on March 29, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Tukums II?
Mārupe won 1-0 on March 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 76′K. KorsaksMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tukums II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Super Nova(away) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Riga FC II(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Super Nova(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ogre United(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 19, 2024 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 1-4 | 1. Liga |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Progress / AFA Olaine(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Mārupe win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Tukums II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2024 | Mārupe 2-1 Tukums II | 1. Liga |
| May 5, 2024 | Tukums II 0-1 Mārupe | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums II score 1.1 and concede 2.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tukums II | 1.1 | 2.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mārupe sit 6th in 1. Liga (16 points from 10 matches) and Tukums II sit 11th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
| 10 | Tukums II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 12 |
| 11 | Tukums II | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy