Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS: result 2-3 and analysis
1. LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Jaunmārupes stadions, Jaunmārupe
Full time
What was the result of Mārupe vs Valmiera / BSS?
Valmiera / BSS won 2-3 on April 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. DembeleValmiera / BSS
- 63′G. LopesValmiera / BSS
- 71′M. OliynykMārupe
- 78′V. StepanovsValmiera / BSS
- 80′R. KrievinsMārupe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mārupe have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Valmiera / BSS have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Skanste(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Rēzekne FA(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ogre United(home) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Smiltene(home) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(away) | 5-1 | 1. Liga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Riga FC II(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Elva(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Paide II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Mārupe score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valmiera / BSS score 2.9 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mārupe | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mārupe sit 6th in 1. Liga (16 points from 10 matches) and Valmiera / BSS sit 3rd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 16 |
| 6 | Mārupe | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 30 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy