Rēzekne FA vs Valmiera / BSS: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, Rezekne
The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Rēzekne FA. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rēzekne FA vs Valmiera / BSS?
Valmiera / BSS is a heavy favourite: 1,735 Elo points against 1,153 — a 582-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rēzekne FA have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Valmiera / BSS have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metta / LU(home) | 0-2 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leevon / PPK(away) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 1-2 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 0-1 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mārupe(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smiltene(away) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rīgas FS II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Riga FC II(home) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Skanste(away) | 3-0 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rēzekne FA win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Valmiera / BSS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmiera / BSS 3-1 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS 5-3 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| May 7, 2017 | Rēzekne FA 0-4 Valmiera / BSS | 1. Liga |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Valmiera / BSS 2-3 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Rēzekne FA 3-2 Valmiera / BSS | 1. Liga |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Valmiera / BSS 4-0 Rēzekne FA | 1. Liga |
Last archived meeting: Valmiera / BSS vs Rēzekne FA on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rēzekne FA score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Valmiera / BSS score 2.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rēzekne FA | 0.9 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Valmiera / BSS | 2.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rēzekne FA sit 14th in 1. Liga (4 points from 10 matches) and Valmiera / BSS sit 3rd (23 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 48 | 15 | 44 |
| 3 | Valmiera / BSS | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 4 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rēzekne FA vs Valmiera / BSS?
- The Footlab model makes Valmiera / BSS the favourite at 86%, against 10% for a draw and 4% for Rēzekne FA.
- Where and when is Rēzekne FA vs Valmiera / BSS played?
- Rēzekne FA vs Valmiera / BSS is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sporta Aģentūras Stadions, in the 1. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.