Mashuk-KMV vs Volgar Astrakhan: prediction and stats
Second League A - Division A GoldFall Season Gold - 10Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, Pyatigorsk
The Footlab model makes Mashuk-KMV the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Volgar Astrakhan. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mashuk-KMV vs Volgar Astrakhan?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Mashuk-KMV (1,800) and Volgar Astrakhan (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mashuk-KMV have 5 wins, 9 draws and 1 defeats; Volgar Astrakhan have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(home) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kaluga(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Astrakhan(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Kirov(away) | 0-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Sokol Saratov(home) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rodina Moskva II(home) | 0-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Novosibirsk(away) | 2-2 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pobeda(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dinamo Vladivostok(home) | 1-0 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alaniya Vladikavkaz(away) | 1-1 | Second League A - Division A Gold |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mashuk-KMV win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Volgar Astrakhan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mashuk-KMV 2-0 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Volgar Astrakhan 0-0 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Volgar Astrakhan 2-0 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Mashuk-KMV 1-0 Volgar Astrakhan | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| May 4, 2025 | Volgar Astrakhan 1-2 Mashuk-KMV | Second League A - Spring Season Gold |
Last archived meeting: Volgar Astrakhan vs Mashuk-KMV on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mashuk-KMV score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Volgar Astrakhan score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mashuk-KMV | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Volgar Astrakhan | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mashuk-KMV sit 5th in Second League A - Division A Gold (7 points from 5 matches) and Volgar Astrakhan sit 7th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mashuk-KMV | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Volgar Astrakhan | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mashuk-KMV vs Volgar Astrakhan?
- The Footlab model makes Mashuk-KMV the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 27% for Volgar Astrakhan.
- Where and when is Mashuk-KMV vs Volgar Astrakhan played?
- Mashuk-KMV vs Volgar Astrakhan is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Central'nyj Stadion Mashuk, in the Second League A - Division A Gold.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.